Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.001205 0.001266 0.001329 0.001398 0.001472 0.001548 0.001634
2025-07-06 0.001094 0.001181 0.001274 0.001379 0.001496 0.001623 0.001771
2025-07-13 0.001002 0.001104 0.001215 0.001345 0.001495 0.001662 0.001863
2025-07-20 0.000953 0.001068 0.001195 0.001349 0.001531 0.001739 0.001998
2025-07-27 0.000915 0.001040 0.001183 0.001358 0.001568 0.001817 0.002135
2025-08-03 0.000887 0.001022 0.001178 0.001373 0.001613 0.001903 0.002285
2025-08-10 0.000854 0.000995 0.001160 0.001371 0.001635 0.001960 0.002398
2025-08-17 0.000811 0.000954 0.001123 0.001341 0.001620 0.001969 0.002448
2025-08-24 0.000778 0.000922 0.001096 0.001323 0.001617 0.001992 0.002517
2025-08-31 0.000756 0.000904 0.001085 0.001324 0.001638 0.002045 0.002627
2025-09-07 0.000730 0.000879 0.001063 0.001309 0.001637 0.002069 0.002696
2025-09-14 0.000708 0.000859 0.001046 0.001300 0.001644 0.002102 0.002780
2025-09-21 0.000683 0.000835 0.001026 0.001288 0.001647 0.002134 0.002870
2025-09-28 0.000659 0.000811 0.001005 0.001274 0.001647 0.002162 0.002955
2025-10-05 0.000630 0.000781 0.000974 0.001244 0.001625 0.002156 0.002989
2025-10-12 0.000616 0.000769 0.000967 0.001248 0.001648 0.002218 0.003128
2025-10-19 0.000605 0.000760 0.000963 0.001256 0.001678 0.002288 0.003284
2025-10-26 0.000596 0.000755 0.000965 0.001270 0.001716 0.002374 0.003470
2025-11-02 0.000583 0.000743 0.000955 0.001268 0.001731 0.002424 0.003600
2025-11-09 0.000561 0.000719 0.000929 0.001241 0.001708 0.002413 0.003629
2025-11-16 0.000545 0.000701 0.000911 0.001225 0.001700 0.002426 0.003697
2025-11-23 0.000534 0.000691 0.000904 0.001225 0.001716 0.002478 0.003837
2025-11-30 0.000520 0.000676 0.000889 0.001212 0.001711 0.002495 0.003913